Jun 5, 2012

Commodity Prices - Coal in Declining Trend

The worries of a global slowdown pushed oil prices to less than $82 a barrel today... highlighting Porter's outlook of lower oil prices and higher natural gas prices. A global slowdown plays into Porter's belief... But he's more focused on the huge shift in the energy markets that's being driven by the incredible amount of oil being found in the United States. (For example, the oilfield we learned about at the Atlas meeting could be the second-biggest in U.S. history.)
Falling oil and low natural gas prices have destroyed the coal market... Coal – which fuels roughly half the electricity generated in the U.S. – competes directly with natural gas in the power market. But coal is much dirtier than clean-burning natural gas (which makes it unpopular with politicians). So with natural gas prices near record lows, the market is avoiding coal. You can see the result in the following chart of Peabody Coal (BTU)... the largest U.S. coal miner by volume...
 

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